Commodities and Bonds - 04 Sep 2009
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A rules-based, two-part strategy that diversifies across commodities, USD, gold, and bonds (plus a separate equity module). It uses short-term momentum (10-day) and RSI to pick a single asset per block, with a cash-equally fallback and minimal rebalancing.
What you see is a two-pronged system: Commodities/Bonds and Stocks.
1) Commodities/Bonds block: the model looks at several assets (DBC for commodities, UUP for the dollar, GLD for gold, TLT for long Treasuries, BIL for short Treasuries, and a Treasury inverse) and tries to pick one asset to hold. It first ranks the candidates by short-term performance over a 10-day window and selects the weakest performer (the bottom of the ranking). It then checks momentum signals (an indicator called RSI that measures price momentum) against another asset to see if it’s a favorable setup. If the signals agree, that asset is chosen for that block. If not, the strategy moves to the next block.
2) Cash-equal fallback: if none of the blocks provide a clear winner, the algorithm allocates cash evenly across the eligible assets in that section, keeping things diversified rather than concentrating in one bet.
3) Stocks block: separately, the model looks at a stock-heavy bucket (primarily QQQ, the big tech ETF) and uses a volatility check and momentum signals to decide whether to hold stock exposure or fall back to safer assets like short Treasuries or cash.
4) Rebalancing: actual trading adjustments are kept minimal (rebalance is none, with a tiny corridor), so positions aren’t tweaked unless signals clearly change. In plain terms, the strategy is a rules-based, automatic tug-of-war between commodities, currency, gold, and bonds, with a separate, cautious tilt toward equities when signals look favorable. The goal is broad diversification and a disciplined, mechanical approach to shifting exposure as momentum patterns change.
Out-of-sample, this strategy outperforms the S&P on risk-adjusted return and drawdowns: Sharpe ~1.81 vs ~1.33, annualized ~24.5% vs ~21.7%, drawdown ~12.2% vs ~18.8%, Calmar ~2.01. Diversified, low-turnover edge.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.14 | 0.44 | 0.35 | 0.59 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 795.02% | 14.21% | -2.02% | -1.16% | 0.86 | |
| 2,340.73% | 21.37% | 1.53% | 1.38% | 1.6 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$244,072.65Regulatory Fees
$1,030.05
Total Slippage
$6,313.47
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 5, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 1%
Type
Stocks
Category
Multi-asset, momentum, mean-reversion, trend-following, commodities, bonds, currency, gold, equities
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
TBF
ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury ETF
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
Stocks