Commodities and Bonds - 04 Sep 2009
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Two-bucket ETF strategy: half makes macro calls across commodities, the dollar, Treasuries (long/short), gold, or cash using medium-term strength and short-term bounce rules; half switches between QQQ and Treasuries based on QQQ’s volatility and heat.
Your money is split in two halves.
- Half rotates among commodities (DBC), the U.S. dollar (UUP), long Treasuries (TLT), short Treasuries (TBF), gold (GLD), or cash-like T‑bills (BIL). It compares 100‑day “price strength” across those markets, then often buys the recent laggard for a bounce, or sits in cash.
- The other half holds QQQ (big tech) unless QQQ’s short‑term swings are high or it’s very “hot” (then it parks in TLT), or QQQ is very “cold” (then it buys QQQ).
Out-of-sample, this cross-asset strategy beats the S&P 500 on risk-adjusted return: Sharpe 1.81 vs 1.33, 24.50% vs 21.74%, drawdown 12.19% vs 18.76%, Calmar ~2.01—more upside, less risk.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.14 | 0.44 | 0.35 | 0.59 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 797.38% | 14.22% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.86 | |
| 2,342.73% | 21.37% | 1.62% | 1.8% | 1.6 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$244,273.49Regulatory Fees
$1,030.05
Total Slippage
$6,313.47
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 5, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 1%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, etf rotation, global macro, cross-asset, momentum + mean reversion, risk-managed
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
TBF
ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury ETF
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
Stocks