Commodities and Bonds - 04 Sep 2009
Today’s Change (Mar 6, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Two-sleeve tactical ETF mix: QQQ vs TLT for stocks, plus a macro sleeve that rotates among commodities (DBC), dollar (UUP), gold (GLD), bonds (TLT/TBF) or T‑bills (BIL) using 100‑day trend checks and short-term mean‑reversion.
Splits the portfolio 50/50 into two sleeves.
Macro: Compares 100‑day trend strength (RSI = recent ups vs downs) of commodities (DBC), the US dollar (UUP), and long US Treasuries (TLT). Based on who’s stronger, it buys the short‑term laggard (~10 days) from DBC, TBF (short Treasuries), UUP, GLD (gold), TLT, or BIL (T‑bills).
Stocks: Holds QQQ (big tech) unless QQQ is very volatile or overheated; then it parks in TLT.
Out-of-sample edge: 24.5% annualized vs S&P 500’s 21.7%; Sharpe 1.81 vs 1.33; Calmar 2.01; drawdown 12.2% vs 18.8%. A 50/50 macro+equity sleeve using trend+mean-reversion for higher risk-adjusted growth and cooler drawdowns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.14 | 0.44 | 0.35 | 0.59 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 811.45% | 14.36% | 0.54% | -0.34% | 0.87 | |
| 2,331.61% | 21.38% | 1.15% | -0.32% | 1.6 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$243,161.28Regulatory Fees
$1,029.93
Total Slippage
$6,312.85
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 5, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 1%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, etf rotation, trend and mean‑reversion, global macro, risk-on/risk-off, multi-asset
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
TBF
ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury ETF
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
Stocks