Commander BND V2 | 4 Trade Days / Year | Garen Mod Change a few things
Today’s Change (Aug 23, 2026)
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About
Quarterly, it times risk using bonds vs T‑bills. If bonds lead, hold 4 top‑momentum tech/growth names. If not, rotate into defensives/hedges; when rates rise favor dollar/commodities/gold/managed‑futures, when rates fall buy the most oversold defensives.
Each quarter it asks:
1) Are total US bonds (BND) beating T‑bills (BIL) over ~1 month?
- Yes (Risk‑On): buy the 4 strongest names from a big, mostly tech/growth list (e.g., QQQ, SMH, NVDA), equal‑weighted.
- No (Risk‑Off): check long Treasuries (TLT) vs BIL.
• TLT weak (rates rising): favor strong‑dollar/inflation hedges—BTAL (market‑neutral), USDU (USD), VTIP (short TIPS), commodities (PDBC/XLE), staples (XLP), gold (GLD), managed futures (KMLM), crash hedge (TAIL); pick the top 2.
• TLT ok (rates falling): buy the 2 most oversold (by return/RSI—simple recent‑strength gauge) from a defensive basket (Treasuries, defensives, dividends, gold/silver, REITs, KMLM/BTAL).
An adaptive quarterly strategy that reduces drawdown and diversifies with macro hedges. When risk-on, it taps momentum in tech; when risk-off, it hedges. Lower max drawdown (2.43% vs 3.38%) and solid risk control complement the S&P 500.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 6, 2026
Trading Setting
Quarterly
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, risk-on/off, momentum + mean reversion, macro (rates/dollar/commodities), quarterly rotation, multi-asset, hedging/managed futures
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 83 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AAPL
Apple Inc.
Stocks
ABNB
Airbnb, Inc. Class A Common Stock
Stocks
ADBE
Adobe Inc.
Stocks
ADI
Analog Devices, Inc.
Stocks
ADP
Automatic Data Processing
Stocks
AMAT
Applied Materials Inc
Stocks
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
Stocks
AMGN
Amgen Inc
Stocks
AMZN
Amazon.Com Inc
Stocks
APP
Applovin Corporation Class A Common Stock
Stocks