Commander BND V2 | 4 Trade Days / Year | Garen Mod
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Quarterly, it sets Risk On vs Off by checking bonds vs T‑bills, then buys equal‑weighted ETFs from preset menus using a “buy the most beaten‑down” rule (low RSI/weak returns). Uses 3x bull funds in Risk On, hedges/safe havens in Risk Off.
Each quarter: 1) Compare 60‑day returns of BND (US bonds) vs BIL (T‑bills). If BND > BIL → Risk On; else Risk Off.
Risk On: buy 4 (equal) from 3x bull funds (tech, Nasdaq/S&P, financials, long Treasuries) with the lowest RSI (0–100; low = recently weak).
Risk Off: check TLT vs BIL (20d). If TLT < BIL (rates rising): 40% USDU + 60% in 3 lowest‑RSI hedges (inverse equity/bonds, staples, energy, VIX). Else: 80% in 4 weakest of staples, healthcare, Treasuries, 2x gold; 20% cash.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~45.7% vs SPY ~22%; Calmar ~0.96. Quarterly risk-on/off rotations plus contrarian, low-RSI leveraged picks offer strong upside, with larger drawdowns than the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.56 | 0.53 | 0.05 | 0.23 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 365.47% | 13.46% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.82 | |
| 82,458.54% | 73.58% | 1.76% | 4.67% | 1.57 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$8,255,853.90Regulatory Fees
$2,126.23
Total Slippage
$14,226.70
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 5, 2022
Trading Setting
Quarterly
Type
Stocks
Category
Risk-on/risk-off, quarterly rotation, leveraged etfs, rsi mean reversion, defensive hedges, macro regime, tactical asset allocation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 22 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
PST
ProShares Trust UltraShort Lehman 7-10 Year Treasury
Stocks
QID
ProShares UltraShort QQQ
Stocks
SDS
ProShares UltraShort S&P500
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
TBT
ProShares Trust UltraShort Lehman 20+ Year Treasury
Stocks