Commander BND V1 | 4 Trade Days / Year | Garen Mod
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
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About
A quarterly market-timing strategy that uses bonds as a risk signal: it gets aggressive when conditions look good, and shifts into defensive, bearish, dollar, bond, or gold-related funds when conditions worsen.
Every quarter, the strategy checks whether the broad U.S. bond market (BND) is doing better than very short-term T-bills (BIL). If yes, it goes into aggressive 3x stock funds and picks the 4 that have recently cooled off most.
If not, it turns defensive. It then checks long-term Treasuries (TLT) vs T-bills to judge whether interest rates are rising or falling, and shifts into different defensive holdings based on that.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~37% vs S&P ~21%, with positive alpha and regime-aware bets using bonds as signals. Seeks bigger upside than the S&P in favorable markets, while offering diversification, though it carries higher drawdown risk.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.51 | 0.51 | 0.05 | 0.22 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 429.33% | 13.89% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.85 | |
| 66,471.99% | 66.09% | 3.51% | -0.46% | 1.46 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$6,657,199.16Regulatory Fees
$1,651.80
Total Slippage
$13,886.41
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 5, 2022
Trading Setting
Quarterly
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, risk-on/risk-off, leveraged etfs, contrarian, quarterly rebalancing, macro, defensive hedging
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 22 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
PST
ProShares Trust UltraShort Lehman 7-10 Year Treasury
Stocks
QID
ProShares UltraShort QQQ
Stocks
SDS
ProShares UltraShort S&P500
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TBT
ProShares Trust UltraShort Lehman 20+ Year Treasury
Stocks