Commander BND V1 | 4 Trade Days / Year | Garen Mod
Today’s Change (Mar 13, 2026)
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About
A quarterly “risk switch” driven by bond vs T‑bill trends. In good conditions it buys 4 aggressive 3× growth/bond funds; in bad conditions it rotates into defensive, inverse, volatility and dollar plays, buying recent losers (low RSI) for rebounds. High risk.
Trades 4×/yr.
1) Risk test: if broad bonds (BND) beat 1–3mo T‑bills (BIL) over ~60 days → Risk ON; else Risk OFF. If OFF, check long Treasuries (TLT) vs T‑bills over ~20 days to read rates (rising if TLT worse).
2) Then buy recent losers (low RSI—a 0–100 recent‑move score; low = recently fell) to bet on a bounce.
Risk ON: 4 aggressive 3× stock/tech/long‑Treasury funds.
Risk OFF, rising rates: 60% in 3 defensive/short/volatility funds + 40% in a stronger‑USD fund.
Risk OFF, falling rates: 80% in 4 of staples/healthcare/Treasuries/2× gold; 20% cash.
Out-of-sample upside: ~44% annualized vs ~22% for the S&P. A rules-based regime shifts to leveraged growth in favorable macro conditions and uses hedges when rates rise—offering higher potential returns with larger drawdowns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.54 | 0.55 | 0.05 | 0.23 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 352.52% | 13.17% | -2.23% | -2.01% | 0.8 | |
| 70,165.77% | 71.12% | 7.3% | 9.43% | 1.52 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$7,026,576.71Regulatory Fees
$1,809.48
Total Slippage
$11,925.88
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 5, 2022
Trading Setting
Quarterly
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, trend filter, mean-reversion, leveraged/inverse etfs, volatility hedges, defensive rotation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 22 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
PST
ProShares Trust UltraShort Lehman 7-10 Year Treasury
Stocks
QID
ProShares UltraShort QQQ
Stocks
SDS
ProShares UltraShort S&P500
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TBT
ProShares Trust UltraShort Lehman 20+ Year Treasury
Stocks