Commander BND V1 | 4 Trade Days / Year | Garen Mod
Today’s Change (Sep 21, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Quarterly regime switch: bonds vs T‑bills picks Risk‑On or Risk‑Off. Then it buys the most “beaten‑up” choices from preset ETFs—growth/leveraged in Risk‑On; hedges, USD, or defensives (plus some cash) in Risk‑Off. Mean‑reversion focus.
Each quarter it makes two checks.
1) Bonds vs cash: If the total US bond market (BND) beat 1–3m T‑bills (BIL) over ~60 days, go Risk‑On: buy 4 of 6 growth funds (leveraged tech/semis/Nasdaq/S&P/financials and long Treasuries TMF) with the lowest 10‑day RSI (a short‑term “how beaten‑up” score).
2) Otherwise Risk‑Off, then rates: If long Treasuries (TLT) lagged T‑bills over ~20 days (rising rates), hold 3 oversold hedges (inverse Treasuries, defensive stocks, inverse stock funds, VIX, market‑neutral) plus 40% long USD (USDU). If not (falling rates), hold 4 oversold defensives (staples, healthcare, Treasuries, short Treasuries, gold) and keep ~20% cash.
Out-of-sample, this strategy aims for higher upside, about 36.5% annualized vs the S&P 500 about 21%, using quarterly regime switching and mean-reversion on leveraged growth and hedges. Bigger gains, but also larger drawdowns about 51%.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.51 | 0.52 | 0.05 | 0.22 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 421.53% | 13.86% | -0.5% | 2.26% | 0.84 | |
| 64,737.1% | 66.35% | -2.78% | -0.21% | 1.46 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$6,483,709.56Regulatory Fees
$1,585.58
Total Slippage
$13,346.34
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 5, 2022
Trading Setting
Quarterly
Type
Stocks
Category
Regime switching, mean reversion, quarterly, leveraged/inverse etfs, bonds vs t‑bills, risk‑on/risk‑off, usd, volatility
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 22 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
PST
ProShares Trust UltraShort Lehman 7-10 Year Treasury
Stocks
QID
ProShares UltraShort QQQ
Stocks
SDS
ProShares UltraShort S&P500
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TBT
ProShares Trust UltraShort Lehman 20+ Year Treasury
Stocks