Commander BND Nest V0.2 | 4 Trade Days / Year | Garen Mod | 84% AR | 26.8% DD
Today’s Change (Mar 7, 2026)
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About
Quarterly “traffic light” strategy: bonds vs cash decides Risk‑ON or Risk‑OFF. In good times it holds 4 leveraged growth ETFs; in bad times it switches to hedges and defensives, guided by simple recent‑strength scores and a rates check. Blends four variants.
Each quarter it flips a “traffic light.” If broad bonds (BND) beat T‑bills (BIL) over 60 days, it goes Risk‑ON: holds 4 growth/tech‑heavy leveraged funds picked by recent strength (momentum/RSI—RSI is a 0–100 score of recent up vs down). If not, it’s Risk‑OFF. Then it checks long Treasuries (TLT): if weak, it uses inverse/volatility/strong‑USD hedges; if firm, it favors staples/healthcare/Treasuries/gold. It blends 4 rule variants.
Out-of-sample edge: ~46.6% annualized return vs ~22% for the S&P, with Calmar ~1.04, and disciplined quarterly Risk-On/Risk-Off switching plus hedges. Higher upside potential, but expect larger drawdowns (~44%) and a beta ~1.42.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.55 | 0.55 | 0.06 | 0.24 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 356.81% | 13.28% | -2.64% | -1.35% | 0.81 | |
| 83,036.37% | 73.62% | 9.06% | 9.49% | 1.59 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$8,313,637.41Regulatory Fees
$2,036.01
Total Slippage
$13,538.79
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 6, 2022
Trading Setting
Quarterly
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation,risk-on/risk-off,leveraged etfs,rsi,momentum,macro,quarterly rebalance,bond trend signal,defensive hedges
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 22 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
PST
ProShares Trust UltraShort Lehman 7-10 Year Treasury
Stocks
QID
ProShares UltraShort QQQ
Stocks
SDS
ProShares UltraShort S&P500
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
TBT
ProShares Trust UltraShort Lehman 20+ Year Treasury
Stocks