Commander BND Nest V0.2 | 4 Trade Days / Year | Garen Mod | 84% AR | 26.8% DD
Today’s Change (Apr 3, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A quarterly, risk-on/risk-off rotation. If broad bonds beat T‑bills, it buys 4 leaders among leveraged US stock/tech/semis/financials or long‑bond funds. If not, it shifts to defensive mixes, sometimes shorting stocks/bonds and owning the US dollar.
Each quarter it asks: are broad bonds (BND) beating T‑bills (BIL) over ~60 days? If yes (Risk ON), buy 4 leaders among leveraged US stock/tech/semis/financials or long‑bond funds (chosen by recent returns or RSI—a gauge of recent buying vs selling). If no (Risk OFF), check long Treasuries (TLT): if weak, hold 60% defensive/short funds + 40% long USD (USDU); otherwise hold staples, healthcare, short Treasuries, gold, and/or long Treasuries.
Quarterly risk-on/risk-off ETF rotation with out-of-sample results: ~46.6% annualized vs SPY ~22%, Sharpe ~1.12, Calmar ~1.04. Higher upside and risk-adjusted strength, but with bigger drawdowns (~44% vs ~19%).
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.55 | 0.53 | 0.05 | 0.23 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 346.78% | 12.98% | -4.19% | -3.74% | 0.79 | |
| 82,885.08% | 73% | 6.54% | 9.93% | 1.58 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$8,298,508.28Regulatory Fees
$2,146.82
Total Slippage
$14,275.74
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 6, 2022
Trading Setting
Quarterly
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical etf rotation, risk-on/risk-off, trend & momentum, leveraged etfs, macro rates filter, quarterly rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 22 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
PST
ProShares Trust UltraShort Lehman 7-10 Year Treasury
Stocks
QID
ProShares UltraShort QQQ
Stocks
SDS
ProShares UltraShort S&P500
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TBT
ProShares Trust UltraShort Lehman 20+ Year Treasury
Stocks