Commander BND Nest | 4 Trade Days / Year | Garen Mod
Today’s Change (Apr 3, 2026)
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About
A quarterly, rules-based mix. If bonds beat cash, it buys 4 leveraged growth/tech/bond ETFs with the best recent strength. If not, it shifts to defensive shorts, staples, energy, USD, or to bonds/gold when rates fall. High risk; 4 trades/yr.
Each quarter it checks if bonds beat cash: 60‑day BND (broad bonds) vs BIL (T‑bills). If BND > BIL → Risk ON; else Risk OFF.
Risk ON: buy 4 of SOXL/TECL/TQQQ/UPRO/FAS/TMF with the strongest recent price strength (RSI = 0–100 gauge of up vs down days).
Risk OFF: use TLT’s trend to tell rising vs falling rates. Rising: 60% in 3 of PST/TBT/SDS/QID/XLP/XLE/VIXY/VIXM/BTAL + 40% USDU. Falling: 80% in 4 of XLP/XLV/SHY/UGL/TLT. Rebalance quarterly.
Out-of-sample edge: ~45.5% annualized return vs ~22% for the S&P, driven by regime-switching and leveraged growth bets. High upside potential; expect larger drawdowns (~46% vs ~19%) with disciplined quarterly rebalancing.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.54 | 0.54 | 0.05 | 0.23 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 346.78% | 12.98% | -4.19% | -3.74% | 0.79 | |
| 75,072.09% | 71.61% | 6.54% | 9.93% | 1.56 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$7,517,209.11Regulatory Fees
$1,988.91
Total Slippage
$13,159.61
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 5, 2022
Trading Setting
Quarterly
Type
Stocks
Category
Regime switching, momentum (rsi), leveraged/inverse etfs, tactical allocation, multi-asset defensives, quarterly rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 22 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
PST
ProShares Trust UltraShort Lehman 7-10 Year Treasury
Stocks
QID
ProShares UltraShort QQQ
Stocks
SDS
ProShares UltraShort S&P500
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TBT
ProShares Trust UltraShort Lehman 20+ Year Treasury
Stocks