A tactical strategy: go defensive when the Nasdaq’s long‑term trend is weak, and otherwise own 12 “oversold but bouncing” picks from a broad list. If warning signs appear (via PSQ), split between offense and safety. Equal‑weight everything.

It first checks the Nasdaq-100 trend using QQQ’s 200‑day average. If price is below it (downtrend), it parks most money in cash, T‑bills, inflation‑hedged and “buffer” ETFs, and other safer funds. If above it, it picks 12 names that are “oversold” (low 10‑day RSI) but already bouncing over the last month. If a PSQ‑based warning flashes, it splits between those picks and safer ETFs. All are equal‑weighted.

Out-of-sample Sharpe ~1.38 vs SPY ~0.22; Calmar ~4.11; oos return ~94%. Nasdaq-trend filter defends in down markets, then buys 12 oversold-but-bouncing names. Higher volatility than the S&P, but materially stronger risk-adjusted upside.