Cocktail Rev 1.9 (Started 8/25/2025)
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A rules-based ETF mix: ride uptrends with a diversified core, buy rare tech dips with 2x funds, hedge overheated markets with VIX ETFs, and retreat to T‑Bills when trends break. Uses SPY trend and QQQ “heat” (RSI) to decide.
ETF rotation using two cues:
- Trend: SPY vs its 200/30‑day averages (uptrend or breakdown).
- Heat: RSI (0–100) on QQQ/VIXY shows “hot” vs “washed out.”
Hot QQQ (RSI>79) → hedge with VIXY/UVXY (sometimes plus BIL). Uptrend → core (GDE+NTSX or GLD/VOO/IXUS); if washed out (RSI<30) → brief 2x tech bet (QLD/ROM). Weak trend → core or T‑Bills (BIL).
Tickers: SPY/VOO=S&P; QQQ=big tech; GLD=gold; IXUS=int’l; GDE,NTSX=stock+bond; VIXY/UVXY=vol; QLD/ROM=2x; BIL=T‑Bills.
Out-of-sample this strategy delivers dramatically higher risk-adjusted returns than SPY: Sharpe ~5.0 vs ~1.76, annualized return ~104% vs ~17.6%, Calmar ~28.9, and modest drawdowns (~3.6% vs 2.6%).
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.19 | 0.74 | 0.52 | 0.72 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64.22% | 13.4% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.81 | |
| 205.68% | 32.75% | 3.06% | 10.49% | 1.66 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$30,568.37Regulatory Fees
$26.50
Total Slippage
$165.35
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 1, 2025
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical etf rotation, risk-on/risk-off, trend-following, mean-reversion, volatility hedging, leveraged etfs
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 12 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
GDE
WisdomTree Efficient Gold Plus Equity Strategy Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IXUS
iShares Core MSCI Total International Stock ETF
Stocks
NTSX
WisdomTree U.S. Efficient Core Fund
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
ROM
ProShares Ultra Technology
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks