Cocktail Rev 1.0 _ Updated May 8 (Shared)
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A rules-based, five-part portfolio that owns U.S. stocks (esp. S&P 500 and tech) when trends are up, and rotates to cash, staples, Treasuries, gold, or managed futures when risk rises. Seeks equity-like growth with smaller drops and limited leverage.
Five sleeves: 25% NTSX (S&P 500+Treasuries), 25% XLK (tech), 15% VEA (intl), 25% “homebase” regime logic, 10% DBMF (managed futures). Rules use trend lines (moving averages) and a momentum gauge (RSI: high=overheated, low=washed-out). If trends are up, it owns stocks; if not, it shifts to cash (BIL), staples (XLP), Treasuries, gold (IAU), or DBMF. Big volatility spikes (VIXM) trigger crash hedges.
Out-of-sample: 27.54% annualized return vs 22.84% S&P; Sharpe 1.88 vs 1.43; Calmar 2.26; max drawdown 12.17% vs 18.76%; Alpha ~0.10. Diversified, rules-based strategy designed to grow with less downside than the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.17 | 0.57 | 0.57 | 0.75 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 142.72% | 15.17% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.8 | |
| 382.54% | 28.49% | 0.97% | 3.14% | 1.69 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$48,253.92Regulatory Fees
$58.35
Total Slippage
$345.51
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 8, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, tactical asset allocation, multi-asset, risk-on/risk-off, managed futures, volatility hedging
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 21 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
DBMF
iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF
Stocks
HIBS
Direxion Daily S&P 500 High Beta Bear 3X Shares
Stocks
IAU
iShares Gold Trust
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
NTSX
WisdomTree U.S. Efficient Core Fund
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
RPV
Invesco S&P 500 Pure Value ETF
Stocks