Chowmeini's Simple TECL with Safety
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A two-branch tactical strategy: go all-in TECL when TQQQ’s 10-day RSI is ≤ 32 (tech momentum oversold), otherwise switch to a safety basket (US dollar, gold, and consumer staples). Full allocation to whichever branch signals.
- Each decision point looks at the 10-day RSI of TQQQ to gauge tech momentum. RSI is a momentum measure; when it’s low (≤ 32), the strategy bets on a rebound by buying TECL (tech exposure amplified 3x). - If RSI is higher (> 32), the strategy moves to a safety bucket consisting of US dollar exposure (USDU), gold (GLD), and a defensive consumer staples ETF (XLP). - Allocation is all-in to either TECL or the safety basket (100% weight to one branch). - There’s no ongoing rebalancing within a period; the next decision point will re-evaluate. - This setup uses leverage for potential big moves in tech and a diversified safety mix to protect against downside.
Tickers: TECL is a 3x leveraged tech ETF; TQQQ (referenced for RSI) is a 3x Nasdaq-100 levered ETF; USDU is USD exposure; GLD is gold; XLP is consumer staples.
Out-of-sample edge: ~33% annualized return vs SPY ~22%, Calmar ~1.21 and positive alpha. A two-branch system—100% TECL on oversold momentum or 100% safety basket—seeks higher upside with disciplined risk; drawdowns may exceed SPY.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.25 | 0.85 | 0.25 | 0.5 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 354.53% | 13.2% | -2.02% | -1.16% | 0.81 | |
| 5,340.69% | 38.72% | 0.58% | 25.27% | 1.25 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$544,068.64Regulatory Fees
$576.60
Total Slippage
$3,567.17
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 15, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged, momentum-based, tactical allocation, safety diversification
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 5 assets in total