Cherries v2: 18+ Month Solid OOS No BTC
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, rule-based, regime-aware multi-asset strategy that uses momentum, trend, and performance signals across a broad ETF universe plus hedges (UVXY, GLD, UUP) to navigate bull/bear markets. Aims for ~50% CAGR with <15% drawdown over 18+ months, excluding BTC.
What it is: a daily, automated system that selects and sizes a basket of ETFs and hedges based on simple, repeatable rules.
How signals are read: RSI is a momentum measure. If a leveraged ETF (like SPXL, TQQQ, SOXL) shows very strong momentum (high RSI), the system considers adding it or keeping it; if momentum is weak, it may reduce exposure or switch to hedges. It also looks at trend direction using a price vs. long-term average (e.g., 200-day trend) and checks recent performance (cumulative returns over the last 10–40 days).
What assets it can pick: broad market ETFs (SPY, QQQ, SPXL, TQQQ, SOXL), sector and thematic ETFs (SMH, XLP, COST, UNH, SMH, QLD, etc.), volatility hedges (UVXY, SVXY), bonds (TLT, SHY, BIL), gold (GLD), and the dollar index (UUP).
How it allocates: each decision block ends with a 100% cash-equivalent weighting that is then spread across the chosen assets in that block, resulting in a fully funded, diversified position.
Regime awareness and hedges: the strategy has layers for Bull, Bear, and Normal markets. In risky or volatile conditions, it leans toward hedges (UVXY/SVXY, T-Bills, GLD, UUP). In strong bull signals, it tilts toward leveraged equity exposure.
Rebalance and goals: it rebalances daily, targets long-tail growth (18+ months out-of-sample), and is designed to stay under a stated drawdown ceiling while avoiding crypto (BTC).
Out-of-sample edge: ~30% annualized return vs 17% for the S&P, Sharpe ~1.02, and Calmar ~1.30. A regime-aware, diversified ETF portfolio with hedges aims for faster growth while balancing risk; drawdowns can exceed SPY in downturns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.48 | 0.76 | 0.22 | 0.47 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 570.79% | 14.38% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.89 | |
| 252,163.51% | 73.86% | -1.35% | 2.1% | 2.2 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$25,226,350.93Regulatory Fees
$63,424.51
Total Slippage
$426,418.97
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 10, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Multi-asset, regime-based, momentum/rsi, volatility hedging, us etfs
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 26 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
COST
Costco Wholesale Corp
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
JNK
State Street SPDR Bloomberg High Yield Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks