Chained KMLM conditions - KMLM Pop Bot
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
Short‑volatility timer: buys SVXY only when semiconductors show stronger short‑term momentum than KMLM and aren’t overheated, after a KMLM pop/drop trigger. Otherwise it parks in T‑Bills (BIL). High risk when in SVXY.
It uses signals from: KMLM (managed-futures), SMH/SOXL (semiconductors). It holds either SVXY (benefits when market volatility falls) or BIL (T‑Bills).
1) If KMLM jumped ~>5% over 20 days OR fell ~>2% over 10 days, continue; else hold BIL.
2) If SMH looks “hotter” than KMLM (RSI: a 0–100 short‑term heat gauge), continue; else BIL.
3) If SOXL’s RSI < 80, buy SVXY; else BIL.
Defensive, low-beta sleeve designed to weather volatility. In OOS, drawdown is 8.3% vs SPY’s 18.8%, with Calmar >1.1 and modest alpha—delivering steadier risk-adjusted results and diversification to a core S&P 500 allocation.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.25 | 0.21 | 0.07 | 0.27 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92.2% | 13.43% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.83 | |
| 315.26% | 31.59% | 0.27% | 3.13% | 2.16 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$41,526.34Regulatory Fees
$81.40
Total Slippage
$520.20
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 16, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical short-volatility, momentum/rsi filters, regime gating, semiconductor signals, defensive cash
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 5 assets in total