Chained KMLM conditions - KMLM Pop Bot
Today’s Change (Jul 31, 2026)
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About
Short‑volatility timer: buys SVXY only when semiconductors show stronger short‑term momentum than KMLM and aren’t overheated, after a KMLM pop/drop trigger. Otherwise it parks in T‑Bills (BIL). High risk when in SVXY.
It uses signals from: KMLM (managed-futures), SMH/SOXL (semiconductors). It holds either SVXY (benefits when market volatility falls) or BIL (T‑Bills).
1) If KMLM jumped ~>5% over 20 days OR fell ~>2% over 10 days, continue; else hold BIL.
2) If SMH looks “hotter” than KMLM (RSI: a 0–100 short‑term heat gauge), continue; else BIL.
3) If SOXL’s RSI < 80, buy SVXY; else BIL.
Strong risk control and diversification: 8.3% max drawdown vs SPY's 18.8%, Calmar 1.37, and low beta. OOS return ~11.4% with a solid risk-adjusted profile, protecting capital during volatility spikes while still offering upside.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.24 | 0.21 | 0.07 | 0.27 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 113.65% | 14.64% | -0.68% | 3.47% | 0.9 | |
| 339.18% | 30.52% | 0.3% | 3.65% | 2.12 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$43,918.32Regulatory Fees
$77.98
Total Slippage
$639.76
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 16, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical short-volatility, momentum/rsi filters, regime gating, semiconductor signals, defensive cash
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 5 assets in total