Cautious Fund Surfing | SPY vs. SHY & TLT | 2x
Today’s Change (Jun 22, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Daily, it cautiously rotates among 2x S&P 500 (SSO), short‑term Treasuries (SHY), and long‑term Treasuries (TLT). It buys 2x stocks only when markets are calm and stocks look oversold vs bonds; otherwise it hides in SHY or TLT. Uses 15 lookback tests.
Each day it chooses among: SSO (2x S&P 500), SHY (short‑term Treasuries), TLT (long‑term Treasuries). First it checks if the S&P 500’s recent moves are calm across several windows. If not (jumpy), hold TLT. If calm, it compares a simple up‑vs‑down score (RSI: lower = more oversold) for SPY vs SHY. If SPY looks more oversold, buy SSO; otherwise sit in SHY. It blends 15 lookbacks to smooth timing.
Out-of-sample, this strategy delivers ~22.23% annualized return vs SPY’s 22.09%, using a rules-based risk-control framework that leverages equity only in calm, oversold markets and shifts to bonds in volatility—seeking alpha and diversification.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.13 | 0.41 | 0.2 | 0.45 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 762.68% | 11.4% | 1.36% | 13.5% | 0.65 | |
| 2,818.14% | 18.41% | 1.42% | 5.5% | 1.04 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$291,814.47Regulatory Fees
$1,033.49
Total Slippage
$7,008.08
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 3, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, volatility filter, contrarian rsi, leveraged equity, treasuries, ensemble, daily rebalance