Cautious Fund Surfing | SPY vs. SHY | 3x | TQQQ with Yes Pop | shared
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
A volatility‑aware, dip‑buying strategy: mostly TQQQ with a cash buffer when conditions are calm, Treasuries or cash when risk rises. Built as 50% cautious surfer + 50% “Yes Pops” to seek growth with smaller drawdowns.
It splits money 50/50 between a cautious sleeve and a “Yes Pops” sleeve. It takes bigger bets only when markets are calm; otherwise it sits in Treasuries/cash.
On sharp tech dips it buys TQQQ (3x Nasdaq) with a cash buffer (BIL). When tech looks overheated, it uses SQQQ (−3x) with cash. If no setup, it rotates among leveraged Treasury funds (TYD/TYO/TMF) or cash.
Signals are simple “speedometers” (RSI: 0–100; low=oversold, high=hot) and volatility filters.
Out-of-sample return: 22.9% vs SPY 20.4%. A volatility-aware, cash-buffered strategy that capitalizes on Nasdaq rallies (via 3x ETFs) and shifts to Treasuries/cash in risk-off, aiming for higher upside with disciplined risk control.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 4, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, volatility targeting, leveraged etfs, tech bias, mean reversion, trend following, bond rotation, risk-managed
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 13 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
TYD
Direxion Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 7-10 Year Treasury Bond Index symbol AXSVTN)
Stocks