Cautious Fund Surfing | SPY vs. SHY | 3x | TQQQ with Yes Pop | shared
Today’s Change (Mar 6, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A volatility‑aware, dip‑buying strategy: mostly TQQQ with a cash buffer when conditions are calm, Treasuries or cash when risk rises. Built as 50% cautious surfer + 50% “Yes Pops” to seek growth with smaller drawdowns.
It splits money 50/50 between a cautious sleeve and a “Yes Pops” sleeve. It takes bigger bets only when markets are calm; otherwise it sits in Treasuries/cash.
On sharp tech dips it buys TQQQ (3x Nasdaq) with a cash buffer (BIL). When tech looks overheated, it uses SQQQ (−3x) with cash. If no setup, it rotates among leveraged Treasury funds (TYD/TYO/TMF) or cash.
Signals are simple “speedometers” (RSI: 0–100; low=oversold, high=hot) and volatility filters.
Out-of-sample, this volatility-aware strategy delivers 22.9% annualized return vs 20.4% for the S&P, with a ~0.61 Calmar and cash/Treasury buffers. A growth tilt with built-in risk controls to ride calm markets and cushion downturns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.28 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.71 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 739.88% | 14.2% | 0.54% | -0.34% | 0.86 | |
| 69,184.52% | 50.38% | 4.62% | -6.44% | 1.66 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$6,928,452.47Regulatory Fees
$15,491.62
Total Slippage
$90,832.25
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 4, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, volatility targeting, leveraged etfs, tech bias, mean reversion, trend following, bond rotation, risk-managed
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 13 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
TYD
Direxion Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 7-10 Year Treasury Bond Index symbol AXSVTN)
Stocks