Cautious Fund Surfing | SPY vs. SHY | 3x | TQQQ with Yes Pop | shared
Today’s Change (Apr 20, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A cautious, rules‑based blend: lean into tech (toned‑down 3× via TQQQ) when markets are calm and signals are supportive; shift to T‑bills or Treasury trades when risk rises. Adds short‑term “pop” trades on tech dips/overheats to help reduce drawdowns.
It blends two rule-sets 50/50. In calm markets (low S&P volatility), it favors tech via TQQQ (3× NASDAQ‑100), sized down to ~2× by pairing 66% TQQQ with 34% BIL (T‑bills). If risk rises, it moves to BIL or Treasury funds (TYD long, TYO short, TMF long). It decides using simple gauges: market choppiness (volatility), stocks vs safety (SPY vs SHY), and tech’s “heat” (XLK’s RSI: low=dip, high=overheated). The second half buys tech on dips, shorts when too hot, or parks in Treasuries.
Strives for higher growth by tilting to tech in calm markets and hedging with Treasuries, aiming for about 22.9% annualized return versus the S&P’s 20.4%. Expect stronger upside with disciplined risk controls, but drawdowns can be larger in downturns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.28 | 1.11 | 0.51 | 0.71 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 777.8% | 14.4% | 6.16% | 5.09% | 0.87 | |
| 72,722.05% | 50.39% | 7.78% | 5.65% | 1.66 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$7,282,205.48Regulatory Fees
$16,542.67
Total Slippage
$97,375.57
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 4, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, volatility targeting, momentum/rsi timing, leveraged etfs, tech tilt, treasury hedges
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 13 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
TYD
Direxion Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks