Cautious Fund Surfing | SPY vs. SHY | 3x | TQQQ with Yes Pop | shared
Today’s Change (Nov 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A rules-based strategy that swings between leveraged tech, bets against tech, Treasury bonds, and T-bill cash depending on market calmness, tech extremes, and bond-vs-stock signals.
This strategy splits money in half. One half repeatedly checks whether the stock market looks calm or stressed; the other half looks for extreme moves in technology stocks.
When signals look favorable, it buys a turbocharged Nasdaq fund (TQQQ). When tech looks overheated, it can bet against Nasdaq (SQQQ). In more defensive periods, it shifts into Treasury-bond funds or very short-term T-bills (BIL).
Dynamic 50/50 strategy rotates between leveraged tech bets and defensive assets to capture tech rallies while hedging downturns. Out-of-sample: ~15.7% annualized return with ~38% max drawdown, offering diversification and potential regime-driven upside beyond the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.27 | 1.12 | 0.5 | 0.71 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 852.68% | 14.45% | -1.04% | -0.34% | 0.88 | |
| 75,502.6% | 48.71% | -12.41% | -9.62% | 1.61 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$7,560,260.27Regulatory Fees
$17,190.22
Total Slippage
$126,022.32
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 4, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, leveraged etfs, nasdaq, treasury bonds, risk-on/risk-off, momentum, mean reversion
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 13 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
TYD
Direxion Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks