Cautious Fund Surfing | SPY vs. SHY | 3x | TQQQ
Today’s Change (Sep 21, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A cautious, contrarian switch between 3x tech (TQQQ) and cash‑like Treasuries (USFR). It only buys TQQQ when markets are calm and bonds have recently outpaced stocks; otherwise it parks in USFR. Fifteen lookbacks vote and are equally weighted.
What it owns: TQQQ (aims for 3x the Nasdaq‑100’s daily move) or USFR (cash‑like Treasuries). SPY = S&P 500; SHY = short‑term Treasuries.
It builds 15 small “voters.” Each asks: 1) Is the stock market calm (SPY’s recent daily swing under ~1–2%)? 2) Have safe bonds (SHY) recently beaten stocks (SPY) on a simple 0–100 strength score (RSI)? If both are yes, that voter buys TQQQ; otherwise it holds USFR. All voters are equally weighted.
Out-of-sample edge: 29.8% annualized return vs SPY's 21.1%, powered by a disciplined volatility-tuned switch to cash in turbulence. Higher upside in calm regimes, but larger drawdowns (~46%) in downturns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.24 | 1.08 | 0.36 | 0.6 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 437.39% | 14.28% | -0.5% | 2.26% | 0.86 | |
| 8,180.91% | 41.98% | -0.7% | 15.09% | 1.29 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$828,091.32Regulatory Fees
$1,475.19
Total Slippage
$10,154.11
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 17, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, volatility filter, contrarian momentum, leveraged equity, nasdaq-100, treasury cash parking