Cautious Fund Surfing | SPY vs. SHY | 3x | TQQQ
Today’s Change (Apr 20, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A cautious, contrarian switch between 3x tech (TQQQ) and cash‑like Treasuries (USFR). It only buys TQQQ when markets are calm and bonds have recently outpaced stocks; otherwise it parks in USFR. Fifteen lookbacks vote and are equally weighted.
What it owns: TQQQ (aims for 3x the Nasdaq‑100’s daily move) or USFR (cash‑like Treasuries). SPY = S&P 500; SHY = short‑term Treasuries.
It builds 15 small “voters.” Each asks: 1) Is the stock market calm (SPY’s recent daily swing under ~1–2%)? 2) Have safe bonds (SHY) recently beaten stocks (SPY) on a simple 0–100 strength score (RSI)? If both are yes, that voter buys TQQQ; otherwise it holds USFR. All voters are equally weighted.
Out-of-sample, this strategy aims for higher upside (≈38.6% vs 22.6% for the S&P) by tactically leveraging Nasdaq-100 when markets are calm and bonds outperform. A 15-sleeve volatility filter manages risk, but larger drawdowns can occur.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.26 | 1.09 | 0.21 | 0.46 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 398.52% | 14.1% | 6.16% | 5.09% | 0.85 | |
| 6,169.26% | 40.47% | 0.63% | -4.47% | 1.03 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$626,925.69Regulatory Fees
$1,396.56
Total Slippage
$7,874.98
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 17, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, volatility filter, contrarian momentum, leveraged equity, nasdaq-100, treasury cash parking