Cautious Fund Surfing | 2x
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A cautious, rules-based switch between a 2x S&P 500 fund and a defensive trio (UUP, GLD, XLP). It only takes the 2x bet when markets are calm and stocks look weak vs short-term Treasuries; otherwise it stays defensive. Equal-weight 15 sleeves.
It runs 15 small switches. For each: 1) Is the S&P 500 calm (low volatility over ~3–8 weeks)? If not, hold a safety mix: UUP (US dollar), GLD (gold), XLP (consumer‑staples stocks). 2) If calm, compare “RSI” (a 0–100 score of recent price strength) of SPY (stocks) vs SHY (short‑term Treasuries). If SPY’s RSI is lower (subdued), buy SSO (2x S&P 500). All 15 are equal‑weighted and rebalanced daily.
Out-of-sample edge: ~38.8% annualized return vs ~21.9% SPY; Sharpe ~1.83 vs ~1.38; Calmar ~1.44; beta ~1.0. A 15-sleeve system that adds 2x in calm markets and shifts to defense in volatility for higher upside with disciplined risk vs SPY.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.11 | 0.65 | 0.49 | 0.7 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 553.35% | 10.36% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.6 | |
| 2,650.91% | 19.01% | -4% | 0.09% | 1.04 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$275,090.88Regulatory Fees
$937.47
Total Slippage
$4,977.20
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 15, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, risk-managed, leveraged equities, defensive rotation, mean reversion
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 6 assets in total