Cautious Fund Surfing | 2x
Today’s Change (Nov 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily strategy that only buys a 2x S&P 500 fund when the market looks calm and stocks seem temporarily beaten down; otherwise it hides in a defensive mix of dollar, gold, and consumer-staples funds.
This strategy checks the U.S. stock market every day using 15 slightly different tests.
Each test asks two questions: (1) Has the market been calm lately? (2) Have stocks recently looked weaker than very safe short-term Treasury bonds?
If both are true, that slice buys SSO, a fund that tries to deliver 2x the S&P 500’s daily move. If not, it moves to a defensive mix of the U.S. dollar (UUP), gold (GLD), and consumer-staples stocks (XLP).
The final portfolio blends all 15 slices equally.
Out-of-sample, this strategy delivers higher risk-adjusted upside than the S&P: ~30% annualized vs ~20%, Sharpe ~1.5 vs ~1.3, Calmar ~1.1. It leverages calm markets and defends in volatility—though drawdowns can be larger.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.11 | 0.66 | 0.49 | 0.7 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 652.73% | 10.8% | -1.04% | -0.34% | 0.62 | |
| 2,963.21% | 18.99% | 3.41% | 2.06% | 1.03 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$306,321.29Regulatory Fees
$935.88
Total Slippage
$5,772.28
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 15, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, leveraged equity, defensive rotation, volatility filter, mean reversion, multi-window ensemble
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 6 assets in total