(C) V2 Monotonic Microblob-δ mod BSC less YINN and LABD (254/29% MDD) Since 2022)
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A daily-rebalanced, complex, rule-based portfolio that rides momentum with levered ETFs (like TQQQ, SOXL, TECL) while inserting hedges (UVXY, SQQQ, SDS) and safety assets (BIL, SHY, SHY-like Treasuries). It uses layered signals (momentum, RSI-like strength, drawdown, volatility) and risk gates to rotate among long, short/hedged, and safety sleeves, with a focus on controlling drawdown and avoiding some tail-risk vehicles.
- Every day, the strategy re-evaluates a large pool of ETFs (including leveraged plays like TQQQ, TECL, SOXL, QLD and inverse/hedge vehicles like UVXY, SQQQ, SDS, SHY, BIL).
- It uses signals that gauge momentum and strength (price trends, moving-average performance) and risk/volatility (drawdown, standard deviation, RSI-like metrics against benchmarks).
- Assets are ranked and some are selected to form “Long” sleeves (proShares/ETFs that aim to ride rising markets) and “Short/Hedged” sleeves (inverse or volatility hedges to cushion downturns).
- There are separate thematic groups (Rotators, Bears, Safety Town/City) that organize exposures by purpose (growth, hedge, safety).
- Weights are assigned (often full-budget style, such as 80/20-like allocations or 100/100 styles in sub-groups) and a subset of top-ranked assets is put to work each day.
- Risk controls compare the current drawdown and volatility with thresholds (e.g., SPY drawdown, moving-average/value thresholds) to decide if we should reduce risk or switch to hedges.
- The system uses a mix of momentum, trend-following, and volatility signals rather than a single indicator, and it explicitly removes certain tail-risk vehicles (e.g., YINN and LABD) to limit China leverage and biotech risk in core exposures.
- The result is a dynamic, instrument-diversified portfolio that attempts to ride broad market/momentum while preserving downside protection through hedges.
Dynamic, risk-managed momentum strategy using levered ETFs with hedges and safety assets. Out-of-sample Sharpe ~0.54 and Calmar ~0.64 show positive risk-adjusted performance, offering diversification and downside discipline versus SPY, with potentially lower raw returns.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 15, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Quantitative, multi-asset, leveraged etfs, tactical rotation, risk management
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 68 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AAPB
GraniteShares ETF Trust GraniteShares 2x Long AAPL Daily ETF
Stocks
AAPD
Direxion Shares ETF Trust Direxion Daily AAPL Bear 1X ETF
Stocks
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
COM
Direxion Auspice Broad Commodity Strategy ETF
Stocks
DDM
ProShares Ultra Dow30
Stocks
DRV
Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
DXD
ProShares UltraShort Dow 30
Stocks