(C) V1 BWC: Not Boring Trends with Inflation Haven + Caesar's TQQQ For the Long Term (593/34%MDD) 6/19/2019
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A complex, regime-based, long-term strategy that blends leveraged equity bets with hedges and inflation plays, using momentum, volatility, and regime signals to tilt among assets. It aims for trend profits while trying to limit drawdowns via hedges and cash-like controls; it rebalances daily.
- It asks: what market regime are we in? (bull, bear, or sideways). - It then looks for two things: (1) assets showing strong, trend-like behavior, especially among leveraged Nasdaq/tech bets (TQQQ, TECL, SOXL, QQQ, UVXY in hedged roles) and (2) hedges or inflation plays (GLD, TMF, TMF-derived notes, UUP, U.S. dollar proxies) to buffer downturns. - It uses two big selection rules to pick a couple of assets: (a) top performers in a volatility/momentum screen (like a 35-day standard-deviation sort) and (b) assets with favorable momentum signals compared against moving averages. - There is a lot of nesting: sub-strategies tell you when to jump into risk-on bets (during strong uptrends) and when to pivot to risk-off hedges (during drawdowns or high volatility). - It also has explicit “Dip Buy” logic (look for oversold conditions) and “Sideways Deleverage” rules (when the market isn’t trending, reduce risk). - The net effect is a dynamic mix that can tilt heavily into leveraged equities in good times, but shifts toward hedges and less aggressive exposures when risk signals fire. - Rebalance is daily, meaning the portfolio is adjusted every day to reflect the latest signals and rankings.
Regime-driven, dynamic strategy chasing tech trends with hedges. Out-of-sample: ~97% return vs ~28% S&P; Calmar ~4.11 signals strong risk-adjusted upside despite ~23.6% drawdown. Daily rebalances keep you in trend.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.23 | 2.11 | 0.45 | 0.67 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 75.45% | 20.32% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 1.3 | |
| 413.87% | 71.34% | -3.43% | 31.01% | 1.36 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$51,387.38Regulatory Fees
$155.01
Total Slippage
$939.59
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 15, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Regime-switching, trend-following, multi-asset, leveraged etfs, inflation hedges, risk management
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 32 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DIA
State Street SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust
Stocks
DIG
ProShares Ultra Energy
Stocks
EDZ
Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
ERX
Direxion Daily Energy Bull 2X ETF
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
FAZ
Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3x ETF
Stocks
FNGG
Direxion Daily NYSE FANG+ Bull 2X ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
GSY
Invesco Ultra Short Duration ETF
Stocks
GUSH
Direxion Daily S&P Oil & Gas Exp. & Prod. Bull 2X ETF
Stocks