(C) V1 BWC: Not Boring Trends with Inflation Haven + Caesar's TQQQ For the Long Term (539/33%MDD) Since 2019
Today’s Change (Jan 20, 2026)
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About
Rules-based, tech‑trend strategy that rebalances daily. Rides Nasdaq uptrends with leveraged ETFs, buys oversold dips, and flips to hedges (inverse Nasdaq, bonds, gold, dollar, energy) when trends break or inflation/rates spike. Very high risk.
Each day it decides the market’s “mode” (uptrend, dip, sideways, crash, recovery) using trend (price vs 200‑day avg), RSI (0–100 “heat” gauge), recent returns, and volatility. It then:
- Uptrends: ride tech (TQQQ/TECL/SOXL), sometimes short vol (SVXY).
- Dips: buy oversold.
- Crashes/sideways: hedge/short (PSQ/SQQQ) or move to bonds (TMF/TLT), gold (GLD), dollar (UUP), energy (ERX/GUSH/DIG). Sized by volatility; rebalances daily.
Key tickers: QQQ=Nasdaq 100; TQQQ=3× QQQ; PSQ/SQQQ=short Nasdaq; TMF/TLT=US Treasuries; GLD=gold; UUP=dollar; UVXY/VIXY=long VIX; SVXY=short VIX; TECL/SOXL=levered tech/semis; ERX/GUSH/DIG=energy. Very high risk due to leverage/vol ETPs.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~94% vs SPY ~28%; Calmar ~4; Sharpe ~1.85. Rules-based trend-rotating strategy favoring tech in uptrends and hedges dips/inflation—aiming for meaningfully higher upside than the S&P 500 with disciplined risk controls.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.25 | 2.06 | 0.44 | 0.66 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80.91% | 22.85% | 2.19% | 5.01% | 1.43 | |
| 450.51% | 80.77% | 29.66% | 16.2% | 1.49 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$55,050.76Regulatory Fees
$150.06
Total Slippage
$910.63
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 15, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, tactical rotation, leveraged etfs, risk parity, inflation hedge, volatility timing, crash protection, tech-heavy
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 32 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DIA
SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust
Stocks
DIG
ProShares Ultra Energy
Stocks
EDZ
Direxion Daily Emerging Markets Bear 3x Shares
Stocks
ERX
Direxion Daily Energy Bull 2X Shares
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
FAZ
Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3x Shares
Stocks
FNGG
Direxion Daily NYSE FANG+ Bull 2X Shares
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
GSY
Invesco Ultra Short Duration ETF
Stocks
GUSH
Direxion Daily S&P Oil & Gas Exp. & Prod. Bull 2X Shares
Stocks