(C - F) TECL KMLM switcher (single pops) MonkeyBusiness WM74| (976/29%MDD) 72%STDev
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A daily, rule-based switcher between UVXY (volatility hedge) and TECL, with a fallback 3-asset rotation (TMV/TMF/SVXY/VIXM/FTLS/KMLM/UUP) chosen by a low-volatility screen. Uses short-term RSI momentum signals to decide which sleeve to run, aiming for upside in momentum years and risk protection during volatile spikes.
- It rebalances daily and starts with a cash-equal posture in the “TECL KMLM switcher” layer.
- The system looks at short-term momentum: it computes RSI over 10 days for several assets (for example QQQE, VTV, VOX, TECL, etc.). If the RSI is very high (above 79) for a given reference asset, it goes long UVXY (a volatility-focused ETF) as a hedge/tilt toward volatility.
- If the RSI conditions are not all met, the code steps through additional similar checks, often targeting UVXY in a nested fashion or moving toward a leveraged tech exposure (TECL).
- If none of the RSI-driven branches fire, the strategy drops into a YOLO-style rotator: it considers a pool of assets (TMV, TMF, SVXY, VIXM, FTLS, KMLM, UUP) and picks the three with the lowest recent volatility (standard deviation of returns) over a short window, then allocates evenly among those three.
- In short, the plan is: (a) chase short-term momentum signals to pick between volatility tilt and tech exposure, and (b) when momentum signals aren’t decisive, switch to a low-volatility three-asset rotation that includes futures and hedged/alternative exposures.
- The whole setup is described as having backtest drawdown mismatches, implying caution about past performance versus live results and possible sensitivity to lookback, data, or execution details.
Out-of-sample edge vs the S&P: Sharpe ~1.38 vs 1.30, Calmar ~3.89, annualized return ~107% vs ~24%, powered by dynamic hedging and a disciplined low-volatility sleeve. Higher drawdown (~27.5% vs ~18.8%), but stronger risk-adjusted upside.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 1.38 | 0.15 | 0.39 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59.47% | 12.7% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.77 | |
| 34,042.79% | 345.42% | 3.55% | 8.61% | 2.73 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$3,414,279.23Regulatory Fees
$10,550.30
Total Slippage
$69,333.47
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 4, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Momentum/rsi-based switching, tactical asset allocation, volatility hedging, multi-asset rotation, managed futures twist
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 23 assets in total
Ticker
Type
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
FTLS
First Trust Long/Short Equity ETF
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
QQQE
Direxion Shares ETF Trust Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Index ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SVIX
-1x Short VIX Futures ETF
Stocks
SVXY
ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks