(C) Blend: V4 & V5 CFS + BBD, BHFEAR | BIL + v4 Pops - K-1 Free (130/32% MDD) Since 2012
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A multi-asset, 3x-leveraged trading framework that aims to catch upside with UPRO/TQQQ while hedging risk with BIL/SHY/TMF and selective bears (SOXS) during dips. It uses many timeframe checks and regime signals to shift between leveraged exposure, hedges, and cash, aiming for strong upside with risk controls and tax-friendly positions.
- The system is a decision tree that checks many market signals across multiple time frames. Each signal asks a simple question (for example, is the recent rise of a leveraged ETF stronger or weaker than a bond or cash proxy? Is volatility high or low? Are major indexes showing a dip or a rally?). If the answer is yes, the tree points to a sub-strategy that uses a specific mix of ETFs. - Core bets use leveraged equity exposure like UPRO (3x S&P 500) and TQQQ (3x Nasdaq 100) to capture upside when risk signals are favorable. - Hedging and safety bets use cash-like or bond-like ETFs (BIL for cash-like safety, SHY for short-term Treasuries, TMF for long Treasuries, BIL again to minimize K-1 exposure) to protect capital when risk is high. - Bear or defensive bets like SOXS (bear semiconductor 3x) and other hedges are employed in a controlled way to capture downside or to reduce risk when regimes shift to risk-off. - Signals include: inverse volatility windows (e.g., 14d/21d/28d/35d), RSI-like relative strength checks (comparing recent performance of a risky asset against safer proxies like SHY or SHY against SPY), drawdown checks (max drawdown over 1 year), and standard deviation of returns over certain windows. - The strategy uses multiple “blocks” or versions (V4, V5, etc.) that combine different sub-strategies with different weights to form a final mix. - It emphasizes K-1 avoidance by using cash-like instruments (BIL) and widely traded ETFs to keep tax treatment straightforward. - The end result is a blended, frequently rebalanced exposure that shifts between levered growth, bear/defensive overlays, and cash/bond hedges depending on the composite signal from the rule-set. This isn’t a single indicator system; it’s a layered approach that cross-checks several signals to build a dynamic, diversified, and risk-conscious 3x-leveraged framework.
Out-of-sample upside ~60% annualized with Sharpe ~1.47 vs S&P. Dynamic hedges and cash/bond cushions plus regime-switching aim to ride rallies while limiting drawdowns. Tax-friendly with K-1 avoidance.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.63 | 1.25 | 0.3 | 0.55 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 511.42% | 13.89% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.86 | |
| 2,733,168.65% | 108.35% | -5.73% | -20.4% | 2.11 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$273,326,864.80Regulatory Fees
$1,047,307.00
Total Slippage
$7,478,212.05
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 21, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged equity, hedging, regime-switching, dip strategy, tax-conscious
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 26 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
ERX
Direxion Daily Energy Bull 2X ETF
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
QQQE
Direxion Shares ETF Trust Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Index ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SOXS
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X ETF
Stocks