A dip-buying, risk-aware strategy that toggles between hedges (gold, dollar, volatility, long Treasuries) and a core levered-growth mix (FAS, TQQQ, TMF) using short- and long-term signals, with an 85/15 risk-parity tilt and a 5% rebalance band. Designed to ride dips while limiting risk through disciplined allocation rules.

Two main ideas blend together: 1) Buy the Dips, but only when the risk framework says it’s safe. If key momentum/risk signals suggest stress, the system shifts to hedges (gold, dollar, long Treasuries, volatility exposure). 2) The Not Boring (Tuned) part governs a core Growth/Risk-Parity mix: a core portfolio (85% weight) made up of three assets that balance risk across different drivers, with the remaining 15% allocated to hedges or other components. The decision engine uses short-term performance checks (like recent daily/weekly moves) and longer-term risk metrics (drawdown, volatility) to decide which mode to favor and how to weight the components. Rebalancing happens only if allocations drift beyond a small corridor (about 5%), to reduce trading noise. Asset choices include hedges (GLD gold, UUP dollar, UVXY volatility) and levered growth/slower-risk assets (FAS, TQQQ, TMF), plus a long-dated horizon proxy (TMF). The aim is to capture upside when markets cooperate while providing a risk-controlled shield during turmoil. Important point: levered ETFs magnify both gains and losses; this strategy relies on disciplined risk checks and predefined lookbacks to avoid large drawdowns.

Out-of-sample, this dip-buying strategy offers higher upside than SPY (28% vs 23% annualized) with hedges and a risk-parity core. Solid risk-adjusted gains (Calmar ~0.90, Sharpe ~0.92) but larger drawdowns (~31% vs ~19%).