Bull or Bonds Safety town
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A two-pool tactical allocation: levered equity bets for upside, and a hedge/safe-asset bucket for protection. It uses momentum and volatility signals to tilt between pools, then assigns weights within pools to specific assets (e.g., SPXL/TECL vs. UVXY/VIXM/BTAL/SHV/UUP/AGG). It aims for growth with risk controls via gradual rebalancing and multiple hedging recipes.
- The strategy splits capital into two core pools: a Bull/Leveraged Equity pool (bets on the market rising using 2x/3x leverage like SPXL, TQQQ, UPRO, TECL, etc.) and a Safety pool (hedges and safe assets like VIX-related ETFs, short-duration Treasuries, and dollar-bundled protections).
- Signals come from momentum-style checks (a relative-strength or momentum look at recent performance) and volatility cues. When momentum is strong and volatility is tame, more capital tends to sit in the Bull bucket; when momentum falters or volatility spikes, the Safety bucket gets more weight.
- Within each pool, the strategy selects specific assets using ranking and filtering rules (for example, choosing the “top” assets by a chosen metric, or balancing hedge pairs with preferred risk characteristics).
- Weights are assigned to assets and sometimes to groups of assets. These weights are adjusted over time within a small corridor (the corridor width 0.1 implies gradual adjustments rather than abrupt swings).
- There are several variant safety modules (Safety Town and its copies) that implement different hedging recipes (which VIX-related instruments to hold, how to combine them, and how to tilt toward anti-beta funds like BTAL).
- The strategy uses windows such as 21, 14, 30, and even longer (126 days) to compute signals, meaning it blends short- and medium-term views.
- Rebalancing is not automatic on a strict schedule; it’s governed by the corridor and signals, favoring smaller, more gradual shifts rather than large, sudden reallocations.
- In practice, the system prefers to hold one of two broad states: a bullish tilt (more levered equity exposure) or a protective tilt (hedges and safer assets). The exact composition changes with each decision node, but the overarching logic is risk-aware growth with built-in tail risk protection.
Two-pool tactical strategy blends levered equity bets with hedges for higher upside vs the S&P 500. Out-of-sample: ~38% annualized return vs ~22% SPY, with disciplined risk controls and gradual rebalancing.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.35 | 0.68 | 0.14 | 0.38 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 608.48% | 14.63% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.9 | |
| 33,878.99% | 50.16% | -8.08% | -1.54% | 1.5 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$3,397,898.94Regulatory Fees
$14,215.51
Total Slippage
$87,090.09
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 19, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Multi-asset, hedged-leverage, tactical-allocation, volatility-hedges
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 18 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SVXY
ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks