Bull or Bonds Safety town
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
Rules-based “gas pedal vs guardrails”: buy dips in 3x stock ETFs when stocks lead and bonds are weak; otherwise sit in a safety sleeve (volatility/anti‑beta) or rotate to Treasuries/US dollar. Very aggressive; tightly rule‑driven.
It flips between “risk‑on” and “safety.” RSI (a 0–100 hot/cold score of recent moves) and trends drive it. If stocks beat Utilities and long‑Treasuries are weak, it buys dips in 3x stock funds (TECL=tech, TQQQ=Nasdaq, SPXL/UPRO=S&P, UDOW=Dow). If no dip, it parks in a safety mix: SVXY (calm markets), VIXM (fear), BTAL (hedge). If Treasuries trend up, it prefers TMF (3x Treasuries) or UUP (US dollar).
Unleash higher upside versus the S&P with a rules-based buy-the-dip strategy using 3x ETFs and dynamic hedging. Out-of-sample returns target ~38% annualized vs ~22% for the S&P; expect higher drawdowns in downturns, so fits higher risk tolerance.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.35 | 0.68 | 0.14 | 0.38 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 608.48% | 14.63% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.9 | |
| 33,878.99% | 50.16% | -8.08% | -1.54% | 1.5 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$3,397,898.94Regulatory Fees
$14,215.51
Total Slippage
$87,090.09
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 19, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, leveraged etfs, buy-the-dip, volatility carry, defensive rotation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 18 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SVXY
ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks