Bull or Bonds Safety town
Today’s Change (Oct 8, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Rules-based “gas pedal vs guardrails”: buy dips in 3x stock ETFs when stocks lead and bonds are weak; otherwise sit in a safety sleeve (volatility/anti‑beta) or rotate to Treasuries/US dollar. Very aggressive; tightly rule‑driven.
It flips between “risk‑on” and “safety.” RSI (a 0–100 hot/cold score of recent moves) and trends drive it. If stocks beat Utilities and long‑Treasuries are weak, it buys dips in 3x stock funds (TECL=tech, TQQQ=Nasdaq, SPXL/UPRO=S&P, UDOW=Dow). If no dip, it parks in a safety mix: SVXY (calm markets), VIXM (fear), BTAL (hedge). If Treasuries trend up, it prefers TMF (3x Treasuries) or UUP (US dollar).
Out-of-sample edge: ~32.8% annual return vs ~21.5% for S&P; Sharpe ~1.06; Calmar ~0.70. Higher upside with disciplined, rules-based rotation; but expect larger max drawdown (~47% vs ~19%).
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.34 | 0.69 | 0.15 | 0.39 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 727.27% | 15.24% | 1.72% | 4.21% | 0.94 | |
| 42,001.42% | 50.03% | -0.54% | 7.75% | 1.5 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$4,210,142.46Regulatory Fees
$13,542.33
Total Slippage
$102,546.94
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 19, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, leveraged etfs, buy-the-dip, volatility carry, defensive rotation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 18 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SVXY
ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks