Bull or Bonds Safety town
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
Chases stock uptrends with 3x equity ETFs, but when signals cool it switches to a defensive “Safety Town” mix of volatility and market‑neutral hedges. A bond/dollar filter can shift it to 3x Treasuries or the US dollar when safer assets look better.
It’s a rules-based switch. Think of RSI as a quick “heat gauge” (0–100) of recent up/down moves; higher = stronger/possibly hot. If stocks (SPY) look stronger than utilities and long Treasuries are weak, it tries to ride rallies with 3x stock funds: TECL (tech), TQQQ (Nasdaq-100), SPXL/UPRO (S&P 500), or UDOW (Dow). If that short-term heat looks worse than bonds (AGG), it goes to “Safety Town,” a mix of SVXY (benefits from calm), VIXM/UVXY (benefit from fear), and BTAL (market‑neutral hedge). If Treasuries aren’t weak, it may hold TMF (3x Treasuries) or UUP (US dollar), whichever its rules prefer. No fixed rebalancing; it shifts when signals change.
Out-of-sample, this strategy aims for higher growth than the S&P 500: about 38% annualized vs 22% for SPY, via a rules-based risk-on/risk-off approach that rides leveraged rallies and switches to hedges when signals weaken, offering strong upside with adaptive risk.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 19, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, leveraged equity etfs, volatility hedging, momentum/rsi filters, bond/dollar filter, risk-on/risk-off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 18 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SVXY
ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks