Bull or Bonds Safety town
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A market-timing strategy that usually owns very aggressive U.S. stock funds, but can rotate into a complex defensive mix of volatility funds, defensive assets, bonds, or the U.S. dollar.
This strategy first asks: “Does the stock market look stronger than a defensive sector?” If yes, it spreads money across 5 aggressive stock funds tied to tech, the Nasdaq, the S&P 500, and the Dow.
Each slice can switch out of stocks into a “storm shelter” made of volatility funds, a defensive stock fund, very short-term Treasuries, or the U.S. dollar. If the whole market looks weak, it may hide in long-term Treasury bonds or the dollar instead.
Dynamic regime-switching strategy targets higher growth: out-of-sample annualized return 32.1% vs SPY 20.9%, with a defensive sleeve to help in stress. Higher risk and drawdowns possible (up to ~47%), but hedges add diversification.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.34 | 0.7 | 0.15 | 0.39 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 722.87% | 15.15% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.93 | |
| 42,368.39% | 49.95% | 0.76% | 6.02% | 1.5 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$4,246,838.85Regulatory Fees
$13,706.32
Total Slippage
$103,897.63
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 19, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, leveraged equity, volatility hedging, regime switching, u.s. stocks, bonds, dollar
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 18 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SVXY
ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks