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BTC Cycle Bot
Today’s Change

A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here

About

Times risk using Bitcoin’s strength plus stock and bond trends. In uptrends it leans into leveraged tech; when overheated it hedges; when weak it shifts to gold, dollar, or bond trades. Rebalances daily.
NutHow it works
RSI = a 0–100 heat gauge; high = overheated, low = washed‑out. It tracks Bitcoin (GBTC), the S&P 500/Nasdaq, and Treasury‑bond trends. Risk‑on: when BTC is strong and stocks trend up, it uses leveraged growth ETFs (TQQQ, TECL, UPRO) and buys QQQ dips. Overheated: hedge with volatility (UVXY) or inverse funds (SQQQ/SDS). Risk‑off: when BTC/markets weaken, move to gold (GLD), short‑term Treasuries (SHY/SHV), the U.S. dollar (UUP/USDU), or bond trades (TMF if rates fall, TMV if rise). May also hold commodities (DBC) or defensive sectors. Rebalances daily.
CheckmarkValue prop
Out-of-sample edge: ~20.4% annualized return vs SPY ~19.5%, with alpha ~0.051. Drawdown ~34% vs ~19% for SPY, but regime-driven tilts and daily rebalancing aim for higher upside and diversified risk across crypto and macro markets.

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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 18, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Crypto-cycle timing, multi-asset rotation, trend/momentum, leveraged etfs, hedging, dip-buying, macro (rates, usd), daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 0 assets in total
Ticker
Type

FAQ

A Composer symphony is an automated trading strategy that executes trades based on parameters of your choice. Some symphonies are similar to holding one ETF in normal conditions and rotating to a different ETF when market conditions shift, for example a 5% drop in the S&P 500, while others use complex rules with dozens of triggers. However, complex doesn’t always mean better. A simple, well-structured symphony can be just as effective as an intricate one. Learn more about how symphonies work here.

"BTC Cycle Bot" is currently performing the same as yesterday today. Performance updates in real time during market hours.

"BTC Cycle Bot" is currently allocated toUPRO, USDU, TMF, UUP, SHY, SPY, BTAL, TQQQ, SH, GLD, XLYandXLP. Holdings automatically adjust as market conditions change based on the strategy's rules.

Year-to-date, "BTC Cycle Bot" has returned 20.44%. You can adjust the performance chart above to view returns across different time horizons.

The maximum drawdown for "BTC Cycle Bot" is 34.32%. The maximum drawdown measures the largest peak-to-trough decline. It's an important metric to evaluate risk and the strategy's behavior during market stress.

To invest in "BTC Cycle Bot", simply click the Invest button on this page. You'll need to open an account with Composer if you don't have one yet, then you can start investing. Composer will automatically execute the trades for you based on the strategy's rules. Composer also supports trading individual stocks, ETFs, crypto, and options.