BTC Cycle Bot
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
Daily, rules-based rotation that rides Bitcoin’s cycle. In crypto uptrends it leans into high-growth (incl. 3× tech). In risk-off or rising fear it shifts to Treasuries, gold, dollar, commodities, or hedges like UVXY/SQQQ.
It watches Bitcoin (via GBTC). If Bitcoin is above its 100‑day average and its RSI is very high (RSI is a speedometer of recent moves: high = hot, low = washed‑out), it goes risk‑on with tech/growth, sometimes 3× ETFs. If Bitcoin weakens or panic rises, it pivots to safety: Treasuries, gold, U.S. dollar, commodities, or short/volatility ETFs. Stock and bond trends add extra risk-on/off switches. It rebalances daily.
Out-of-sample: 21.98% annualized return vs 19.07% for the S&P, beta ~0.98, and BTC-driven regime switching that captures uptrends and hedges risk, offering higher upside with active risk management vs the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.6 | 0.03 | 0.18 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 311.25% | 14.48% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.85 | |
| 1,590,339.65% | 152.24% | 1.13% | -6.8% | 1.86 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$159,043,965.26Regulatory Fees
$463,863.51
Total Slippage
$3,293,089.62
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 18, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Crypto-linked,tactical,momentum,trend-following,regime-switching,leveraged etfs,volatility-hedged,macro,stocks,bonds,commodities,gold,us dollar
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 40 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
GBTC
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks