BTC Cycle Bot
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A highly intricate, rule-based, multi-asset strategy that rotates daily across stocks, bonds, gold, currencies, volatility, and a Bitcoin proxy. It uses momentum and volatility signals to tilt toward growth or defense in different macro regimes.
- Every day, allocate a cash sum across several themes: Golden Dragon (long volatility), Trend and Momentum, Fiat Alternatives, Secular Growth Assets, and Bonds, plus risk-off/risk-on sub-strategies.
- Within each theme, pick assets using rules like: which assets have performed best recently (top by cumulative return), momentum signals, moving-average comparisons, and RSI thresholds.
- Some parts tilt toward aggressive growth via 3x levered ETFs (e.g., UPRO, TQQQ, TECL, SOXL, FAS) when conditions look favorable; others tilt toward defensive plays (GLD, XLP, BTAL, SDS, SQQQ, SH) when risk is high or inflation/rates shift.
- A dedicated BTC proxy exposure (GBTC) is considered, with RSI and drawdown checks to decide when to tilt toward or away from crypto exposure.
- The system uses “top” or “bottom” selections and varied windows (e.g., 10, 20, 60, 120, 200 days) to rank assets and decide which to hold.
- Weights are assigned to groups (cash-based or specified), and the daily rebalance adjusts positions across all chosen assets according to those rules.
- The aim is to ride macro regimes (growth, inflation, rising/falling rates) while hedging with volatility and precious metals, plus Bitcoin proxies. Risks include complexity, data/signal sensitivity, and the inherent volatility of leveraged ETFs and crypto proxies.
Out-of-sample edge: ~22% annualized return vs ~19% for the S&P, with a near-market beta (~0.98) and diversified macro tilts across growth/defense plus vol/gold hedges and a crypto proxy. Calmar ~0.64 offers solid risk-adjusted strength, though drawdowns run higher (~34%).
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 18, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Macro multi-asset, tactical allocation, leveraged etfs, volatility hedges, crypto proxy
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 40 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
GBTC
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks