BTC Cycle Bot
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily BTC cycle rider: buy Bitcoin when it’s trending and hot; otherwise rotate among tech, bonds, gold, USD, and commodities. Uses trends, momentum, interest‑rate signals, and rare volatility hedges. High risk due to leveraged ETFs.
Step 1: Is Bitcoin strong? It checks GBTC’s trend (price vs its 100‑day average) and a momentum “heat gauge” called RSI (0–100; high=hot, low=washed‑out). If hot and rising, buy Bitcoin.
Step 2: If not in Bitcoin, it rotates daily among tech stocks, bonds, gold, the U.S. dollar, and commodities based on: stock trend (above/below 200‑day average), interest‑rate trend (via TLT), recent performance, and volatility spikes. It adds a small volatility hedge only at extremes.
Out-of-sample, this strategy targets ~22% annualized returns vs SPY’s ~19%, driven by a Bitcoin-cycle tilt plus disciplined rotations across tech, bonds, gold, USD, and hedges. Higher upside in crypto up-cycles; larger drawdowns in downturns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.01 | 0.6 | 0.03 | 0.18 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 320.04% | 14.77% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.86 | |
| 1,611,684.49% | 153.37% | -3.42% | -7.91% | 1.87 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$161,178,448.84Regulatory Fees
$460,840.17
Total Slippage
$3,271,695.08
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 18, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Crypto momentum, tactical asset allocation, regime switching, leveraged etfs, volatility hedge, rates-driven rotation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 40 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
GBTC
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks