BT 1Nov16-22Nov22 AR 1317.2% DD 37.7% Daily TQQQ For The Long Term V4.2.5a 16d CR 11d + 12d Rule | Garen Mod selectively replaced SQQQ -> SOXS & TQQQ -> SOXL
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
Daily tactical strategy around tech and semiconductor ETFs. It rides uptrends, buys deep dips, and uses inverse or “fear” funds or short‑term bonds to defend in downtrends. Uses RSI as a heat meter. Very high risk due to 3x ETFs.
Key tools: RSI = a “heat meter” of recent buying vs selling (low=washed out, high=hot). TQQQ/SOXL = 3x tech/semis; SQQQ/SOXS = 3x inverse; UVXY = a “fear” ETF; SHY/BSV = short‑term bonds.
Rules:
1) If the S&P 500 is in an uptrend: ride tech/semis, buy deep dips, or hedge when things are too hot/fear spikes.
2) If in a downtrend: mostly hedge or hold bonds; sometimes take brief bounce trades. Rebalanced daily.
Out-of-sample, this strategy shows superior risk-adjusted gains vs the S&P: 133% annualized return, Calmar 3.61, Sharpe ~1.58, with regime hedges and tech/semis momentum. Higher upside with active risk controls.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.44 | 3.05 | 0.54 | 0.74 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22.58% | 23.84% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 1.22 | |
| 122.09% | 142.49% | -15.02% | 16.94% | 1.46 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$22,209.13Regulatory Fees
$36.96
Total Slippage
$228.50
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 19, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, tech/semis, trend-following, dip-buying, volatility hedge, momentum, mean reversion, tactical, daily rebalancing
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 46 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AA
Alcoa Corporation
Stocks
ACLS
Axcelis Technologies Inc
Stocks
ALGN
Align Technology Inc
Stocks
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
Stocks
AR
ANTERO RESOURCES CORPORATION
Stocks
ASML
ASML Holding NV
Stocks
AVGO
Broadcom Inc. Common Stock
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
DAC
Danaos Corporation
Stocks