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bsmr230105 | TQQQ or not | BlackSwan MeanRev BondSignal
Today’s Change

A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here

About

A rules-based switcher: ride the NASDAQ via TQQQ when trends are healthy, hide in T‑Bills when risk is high, and occasionally buy UVXY around extremes. Signals use simple “heat” (RSI), trend, drawdown, and bond‑vs‑stock checks to manage risk.
NutHow it works
It flips among: TQQQ (3x Nasdaq), BIL (T‑Bills/cash), and UVXY (volatility). It checks daily signals: - Trend: is QQQ above its 25‑day average? - “Heat” (RSI 0–100: high=hot, low=cold). - Recent drawdowns and bond‑vs‑stock strength. In uptrends it holds TQQQ. After sharp drops it buys TQQQ if oversold, else BIL. If things look too hot or a big bounce follows a crash, it briefly buys UVXY.
CheckmarkValue prop
Out-of-sample return: ~35.7%/yr vs S&P ~17.4%; Sharpe ~0.86; Calmar ~1.01. A Nasdaq-heavy, rules-based strategy using BIL and brief UVXY hedges to chase upside while managing risk. Drawdowns can run higher (~35% vs SPY ~19%).
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
AlphaBetaR2R
0.861.020.110.34
Performance Metrics
Cumulative ReturnAnnualized ReturnTrailing 1M ReturnTrailing 3M ReturnSharpe Ratio
669.43%15.2%-1.77%0.2%0.93
39,417,104.32%144.42%-1.65%-6.11%2
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$3,941,720,431.77
Regulatory Fees
$12,209,360.72
Total Slippage
$87,803,673.57
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 21, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, trend-following, mean reversion, leveraged etfs, risk management, volatility hedge
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks

FAQ

A Composer symphony is an automated trading strategy that executes trades based on parameters of your choice. Some symphonies are similar to holding one ETF in normal conditions and rotating to a different ETF when market conditions shift, for example a 5% drop in the S&P 500, while others use complex rules with dozens of triggers. However, complex doesn’t always mean better. A simple, well-structured symphony can be just as effective as an intricate one. Learn more about how symphonies work here.

The symphony is currently performing the same as yesterday today. Performance updates in real time during market hours.

The symphony is currently allocated toBIL. Holdings automatically adjust as market conditions change based on the strategy's rules.

Year-to-date, the symphony has returned 23.68%. You can adjust the performance chart above to view returns across different time horizons.

The maximum drawdown for the symphony is 35.54%. The maximum drawdown measures the largest peak-to-trough decline. It's an important metric to evaluate risk and the strategy's behavior during market stress.

To invest in the symphony, simply click the Invest button on this page. You'll need to open an account with Composer if you don't have one yet, then you can start investing. Composer will automatically execute the trades for you based on the strategy's rules. Composer also supports trading individual stocks, ETFs, and options.