Broke as a Joke (Recession Plays)
Today’s Change (Mar 6, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Rules-based, recession-aware playbook. Uses a 200-day trend and RSI to switch between major US stock funds, long Treasuries, leveraged tech bounce trades, or a defensive mix of staples and short-term bonds.
Trend check: Is the S&P above its 200‑day average (the last ~10 months of prices)?
• Yes: own big US stocks. If strength is high (60‑day RSI > 60; RSI is a 0–100 hot/cold gauge), hold 55% long‑term Treasuries and 45% in major index funds. Else, split across S&P, Nasdaq, and Dow.
• No: if the Nasdaq is very oversold (10‑day RSI < 31), buy a short‑term bounce via 2x tech/Nasdaq funds; else, split between a defensive basket of consumer‑staple and healthcare companies and a short‑term bond fund.
Out-of-sample, the strategy delivers higher long-run gains than the S&P 500 (25.1% vs 23.2%) with a strong risk-adjusted profile (Calmar ~1.31) using a recession-aware, trend-following framework that captures tech upswings and shifts to defense when needed.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.14 | 0.82 | 0.59 | 0.77 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 567.49% | 10.58% | 0.54% | -0.34% | 0.61 | |
| 6,211.89% | 24.56% | 0.22% | -0.84% | 1.14 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$631,188.52Regulatory Fees
$1,437.94
Total Slippage
$9,064.06
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 17, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, trend following, momentum, defensive, etfs, equities, bonds, leveraged etfs
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 18 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
COST
Costco Wholesale Corp
Stocks
DIA
State Street SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust
Stocks
DLTR
Dollar Tree Inc.
Stocks
JNJ
Johnson & Johnson
Stocks
KO
Coca-Cola Company
Stocks
KR
The Kroger Co.
Stocks
MCD
McDonald's Corporation
Stocks
MNST
Monster Beverage Corporation
Stocks
PEP
PepsiCo, Inc.
Stocks