Brian's Tweak (set dates April 1 2010 - Jan 3 2020)
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A defensive market-timing strategy that usually hides in cash-like T-bills, but in weaker markets rotates into aggressive long/short stock bets or hedges like gold, the dollar, and commodities.
This strategy first checks whether the US stock market looks healthy. If it does, it mostly sits in very short-term Treasury bills (BIL), which acts like cash.
If the market looks weak, it becomes tactical: it may buy beaten-down “turbocharged” stock funds (TQQQ or SPXL), bet against falling stocks (SQQQ or SPXU), or move into hedges like the US dollar, gold, commodities, utilities, or short Treasury trades. It uses RSI, which is just a way of measuring whether something has fallen too hard or risen too fast recently.
Diversification and risk control: a regime-switching strategy that sits in cash in healthy markets and hedges when weak. Low beta (~0.62) and ~18.5% OOS annualized return—providing ballast vs the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.29 | 0.81 | 0.14 | 0.38 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 799.46% | 14.16% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.86 | |
| 29,542.87% | 40.95% | 0.32% | 0.94% | 1.13 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$2,964,287.07Regulatory Fees
$4,598.00
Total Slippage
$34,447.44
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 7, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, regime switching, mean reversion, trend following, hedged, leveraged etfs, bear market defense
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 16 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPXU
ProShares UltraPro Short S&P 500
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMV
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X ETF
Stocks