Breakeven Inflation Rate Logic
Today’s Change (Sep 2, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, inflation‑aware portfolio. If TIP beats IEF, it shifts most assets into an inflation‑defense blend (trend into winners, extra gold, defensive tilts, sometimes short long bonds) while keeping 30% in short Treasuries. Otherwise, it sits in Treasuries.
Each day it asks: have inflation‑protected Treasuries (TIP) beaten normal Treasuries (IEF) lately? If yes, it puts 70% into an inflation‑defense mix that trends into recent winners (SPY, TLT, GLD, DBC, UUP, SHV), adds extra gold, shifts to staples or a defensive basket when markets jumpy, and may use TMV (rises when long Treasuries fall); 30% stays in SHY. If not, it parks in Treasuries (TLT/IEI/IEF).
Inflation-aware, regime-switching strategy offers capital protection and diversification. Out-of-sample drawdown is far smaller than the S&P 500, with solid risk-adjusted returns (Calmar ~0.52, Sharpe ~0.60) and low beta, complementing a core S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.05 | -0.05 | 0.02 | -0.13 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 563.8% | 14.65% | 0.54% | 0.69% | 0.9 | |
| 74.64% | 4.11% | 3% | 0.31% | 0.65 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$17,464.31Regulatory Fees
$147.89
Total Slippage
$469.02
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jun 23, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Multi-asset, inflation-aware, trend-following, defensive, tactical allocation, risk-managed
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 14 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TIP
iShares TIPS Bond ETF
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks