Boring TQQQ Trendz
Today’s Change (Oct 8, 2026)
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About
A 3‑sleeve tactical plan: 20% trades TQQQ/volatility based on trend and short‑term “heat,” 45% rotates into the 2 strongest of stocks/bonds/gold/dollar/commodities/cash, and 35% buys tech dips or runs a TQQQ+TMF risk‑parity core, going defensive during sharp drops.
It splits the portfolio into 3 parts:
• 20%: A TQQQ trend/dip sleeve. Above the 200‑day average it rides TQQQ unless short‑term “too hot,” then briefly hedges with UVXY (volatility). Below it, buys severe dips (TECL/SPXL) or shifts among TQQQ/SQQQ/UVXY/bonds by short‑term signals.
• 45%: Own the 2 best performers over ~6 months from SPY (stocks), TLT (long bonds), GLD (gold), UUP (US dollar), DBC (commodities), SHV (T‑bills).
• 35%: A “dip buyer.” If QQQ drops fast, either buys the dip (TQQQ) or hides in a risk‑balanced mix of gold/bonds/dollar. In calmer times, pairs TQQQ with long bonds (TMF), giving more weight to the steadier one.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~33.8% vs SPY ~21.5%, with strong risk-adjusted metrics (Calmar ~1.70, Sharpe ~1.28) and diversified sleeves that ride tech leadership while managing drawdowns—aimed at higher upside than the S&P 500 with controlled risk.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.32 | 0.71 | 0.27 | 0.52 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 723.41% | 15.16% | 1.72% | 4.21% | 0.93 | |
| 39,320% | 49.2% | 0.31% | 4.74% | 1.86 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$3,941,999.68Regulatory Fees
$4,564.38
Total Slippage
$35,074.25
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 1, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, trend following, momentum rotation, risk parity, dip buying, volatility hedge, multi-asset, tactical allocation