Boring TQQQ Trendz
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A rule-based, multi-asset, trend-following strategy that uses leveraged tech bets for upside while employing hedges and safe assets for risk control; it allocates via a structured, relatively infrequent rebalance within a small corridor, aiming to ride momentum but protect during drawdowns.
A rule-based system checks momentum and trend signals across a mix of leveraged ETFs (for bets on rising tech), hedges (to dampen risk), and safe assets. If short-term momentum is strong and the broad market looks up (price above a long-term average), it tilts toward top-performing, momentum-driven bets (e.g., TQQQ, SPXL) and limits exposure to cash. If signals indicate fear or risk (high volatility signals, underperforming momentum, or a drop below trend), it shifts toward hedges and safe assets (UVXY for volatility fear, GLD for gold, TLT for long bonds, etc.). It also uses a secondary screen to pick the strongest performers over the last ~4 months and allocate proportionally to them, while keeping a core diversification set (broad market, bonds, gold, dollar, commodities). Rebalancing occurs within a small corridor to avoid excessive trading. In plain terms: the model tries to buy big, fast-moving tech bets when the market is healthy, and quickly hedges or shifts into safer assets when risk rises, all guided by predefined signals rather than human discretion.
Out-of-sample, this rule-based, multi-asset strategy targets tech momentum with hedges, delivering ~40% annualized return vs ~22% for the S&P, and a higher Sharpe (~1.44) and Calmar (~2.00). Drawdowns are higher but risk controls help chase big upside.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.33 | 0.69 | 0.26 | 0.51 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 605.13% | 14.55% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.89 | |
| 35,728% | 50.54% | 3.57% | 7.94% | 1.9 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$3,582,800.19Regulatory Fees
$4,730.38
Total Slippage
$29,152.91
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 1, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, trend-following, risk management, multi-asset, quantitative rules
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 14 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks