Bonds | Interstellar 0 Beta | VXX edition | extra paste edition | shared
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A rule-based bond strategy that flips between 3x long (TMF) or 3x short (TMV) long‑term U.S. Treasuries, or parks in safer bonds (BND/SHV). It adds a VXX hedge when stocks look overheated and may buy 3x tech (TECL) only when deeply oversold. High risk.
Uses momentum/trend tests and a “heat” score (RSI, 0–100) on bonds and stocks.
1) If SPY/QQQ look extremely hot, hold VXX (a volatility hedge).
2) If long Treasuries lead T‑bills and trend up, buy TMF (3x long) or TLT; if they get too hot, sit in SHV (cash‑like).
3) If Treasuries trend down, buy TMV (3x short) or step down to TLT/BND.
4) Rarely, if tech is washed out (via TQQQ), buy TECL; else hold SHV.
Out-of-sample return ~22.7% vs SPY ~21.9%, propelled by a bond-trend core with hedges (VXX) and selective TECL. Diversified upside in rate regimes; higher drawdowns and a lower risk-adjusted Sharpe.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 2, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical bonds, trend-following, momentum, leveraged etfs, volatility hedge, market timing
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 11 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TMV
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks