Bonds! Bonds! Bonds!
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, bond‑guided tactical strategy: if bonds look stronger than “short stock” pressure (via RSI), it leans into stocks—often tech; otherwise it hides in staples, cash‑like T‑bills, or shorts the S&P 500. A 200‑day trend filter refines entries.
Each day it checks whether bond ETFs (BND, IEI, TLT) look stronger than “short the market” ETFs (SH, PSQ) using RSI, a 0–100 score of recent buying vs. selling. If bonds win, it goes risk‑on into stocks—often tech (XLK) or broad market (SPY/QQQ), favoring stocks when the S&P 500 is above its 200‑day average. If not, it goes defensive: staples (XLP), cash‑like T‑bills (SHV), or even shorts the S&P 500 (SH).
Out-of-sample, this bond-guided strategy shows a near-1 Sharpe (0.99), Calmar 0.96, max drawdown ~17.85%, and ~17.1% annualized return with beta ~0.83—offering steadier risk and downside protection vs. the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.18 | 0.49 | 0.35 | 0.59 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 530.44% | 10.27% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.59 | |
| 6,939.41% | 25.35% | -1.54% | -2.31% | 1.45 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$703,941.17Regulatory Fees
$2,085.78
Total Slippage
$13,395.68
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 17, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation,momentum (rsi),trend following,sector rotation,defensive overlay,long/short equities,daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
XLK
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLP
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks