Bonds! Bonds! Bonds!
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A daily, bond-first tactical strategy that rotates among bond ETFs, cash/hedges, and a few equity/sector proxies using trend (price vs 200-day MA) and momentum (RSI) signals to decide where to invest.
A daily, rule-based tilt among bonds, cash/hedges, and select equities. It checks if SPY is in an uptrend (price above its 200-day average). If so, it compares momentum signals (RSI) for bond proxies (BND, IEI) versus hedge/short positions (SH, SHV, PSQ). Depending on which side looks stronger, it selects an asset like BND or a defensive/sector mix (XLK or XLP) or stays in cash hedges. A separate “Bond Baller” module uses RSI comparisons between QQQ and TLT (plus hedges) to further refine exposures. The daily rebalance re-allocates 100% of capital to the selected path.
Out-of-sample, this daily bond-first strategy uses trend and momentum to tilt among bonds, hedges, and select equities. It lowers drawdown versus the S&P and delivers solid risk-adjusted returns (Calmar ~0.96, Sharpe ~0.99) with ~17% annualized return.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.18 | 0.49 | 0.35 | 0.59 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 530.44% | 10.27% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.59 | |
| 6,939.41% | 25.35% | -1.54% | -2.31% | 1.45 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$703,941.17Regulatory Fees
$2,085.78
Total Slippage
$13,395.68
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 17, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Bond-focused tactical asset allocation, momentum, sector hedges
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
XLK
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLP
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks