Bonds! Bonds! Bonds!
Today’s Change (Mar 6, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A 3-part, daily-rebalanced, bond‑signal strategy. If bonds show stronger momentum than bearish stock ETFs (and SPY’s trend is healthy), it buys growth stocks. Otherwise it goes defensive with staples, cash‑like T‑bills, or inverse S&P; tech may be bought on deep dips.
Three equal-weight, daily-rebalanced “mini-systems.” Each compares bond momentum vs bearish stock ETFs using RSI (a 0–100 momentum score; <30 = very weak). If bonds look stronger and SPY is above its 200‑day average, it buys growth stocks (QQQ/XLK/SPY). If not, it shifts to defense (XLP, cash‑like SHV, or inverse SH). It may still buy tech on deep dips (QQQ RSI10 < 30).
Out-of-sample: annualized return 17.11%, max drawdown 17.85%, Sharpe 0.99, Calmar 0.959. SPY: 22.21% return, 18.76% drawdown. A 3-module, daily-rebalanced strategy seeks growth with downside protection and smoother risk-adjusted gains.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.18 | 0.49 | 0.35 | 0.59 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 540.33% | 10.38% | 0.54% | -0.34% | 0.6 | |
| 7,086.59% | 25.53% | 1.25% | -3.36% | 1.45 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$718,659.30Regulatory Fees
$2,023.93
Total Slippage
$12,970.86
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 17, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation,momentum,trend following,sector rotation,risk-on/off,inverse etfs,daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
XLK
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLP
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks