Bonds! Bonds! Bonds!
Today’s Change (Nov 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily market-timing strategy that uses bond strength and stock trend signals to switch between tech, the broad market, defensive stocks, cash-like Treasuries, and a bearish S&P 500 position.
This strategy checks the bond market and the stock market every day, then picks from a small menu of investments.
It uses bonds mostly as a “market mood” signal, not as the thing it actually buys. If conditions look favorable, it often buys tech stocks or the broad U.S. stock market. If conditions look worse, it shifts to consumer staples, very short-term Treasuries, or even a fund that rises when the S&P 500 falls.
Daily market-timing strategy using bond signals to tilt between tech, staples, and cash-like hedges. Out-of-sample: drawdown 17.84% vs SPY 18.76%; annualized return 16.57% vs 19.38%, delivering tighter downside protection and diversification.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.18 | 0.5 | 0.35 | 0.59 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 626.28% | 10.72% | -1.04% | -0.34% | 0.62 | |
| 8,192.47% | 25.47% | 0.37% | -2.05% | 1.45 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$829,246.53Regulatory Fees
$2,030.55
Total Slippage
$16,424.11
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 17, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, market timing, sector rotation, defensive, bonds-as-signal, tech-heavy
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
XLK
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLP
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks